NEAR TERM FORECAST:
Showers and perhaps even a stray storm or two will be possible Sunday night but the threat of rain should end by mid morning on Monday. Dry skies will return for Monday afternoon and evening which bodes well for travel and holiday services.
CHRISTMAS DAY STORM UPDATE:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop in Louisiana early Tuesday morning and it is forecast to move into Northeast Mississippi by late Tuesday evening. Locations south and east of the center of low pressure will have the greatest threat for severe weather, including tornadoes. Locations that remain north and west of the center should not have much to worry about in terms of severe weather. So what path will the center take? Right now the favored solution takes it right up the Natchez Trace Parkway; however, this track is not set in stone. One computer model takes the center as far north as Memphis while another one takes it closer to Meridian. I think we all need to be prepared for the possibility of severe weather on Christmas Day but the odds of seeing such activity appear to be higher the farther east and south you live.
A cold front will sweep the severe weather threat east of our area around midnight or 1 a.m. Wednesday but we will not be out of the woods as far as the active weather goes. Cold air will rush in quickly behind the front and it may become cold enough for wintry weather to develop across North Mississippi, especially north and west of the Natchez Trace Parkway. The current thinking is that the worst of the winter weather will be felt in Arkansas and West Tennessee but at least a coating of snow could occur as far south as the northern tier of our viewing area. The winter weather aspect, much like the severe weather aspect, will all be determined by the eventual storm track.
We’ll have a complete rundown on WCBI News at 10 tonight and on WCBI News Sunrise starting at 4:30 a.m. Monday. Live weather updates will also occur on WCBI News at Noon, 5, 6, 9, and 10 Monday afternoon and evening. Of course we’ll be updating things right here on WCBI.com as well as our Facebook and Twitter pages as new information becomes available.