Rain Today; Dry Start To Next Week.

TODAY/SATURDAY: An upper level low that is located over Texas this morning and a subsequent surface low will move northeast over the next 24 hours through our area. This system will trigger more showers and even perhaps a few thunderstorms today as an occluded front pushes north through our area. High temperatures today climb into the low 60s, with overnight lows in the mid 40s. The upper level and surface low will be northeast of our area by Saturday morning, but wraparound moisture will lead to cloudy skies and a few scattered showers, especially in the first half of the day. Temperatures will be a bit lower Saturday behind the low, with highs in the low to mid 50s. Overnight lows in the low 40s.

SUN/MON/TUE: Upper level ridging and high pressure move in behind the upper level low, leading to more sunshine and drier weather across the area to start next week. High temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 50s, and with clearer skies overnight, lows will drop into the mid 30s.

WED/THU: The models are struggling a bit regarding the evolution of the next weather system to move through the southern US. The European and Canadian models suggest and upper level trough will push into our area by Wednesday, triggering another surface low along the gulf coast and likely bringing us a few showers Wednesday into Thursday. The American model (the GFS) keeps that upper level trough blocked to our west and keeps us dry through Thursday. For now, I’m leaning more towards the European/Canadian solution and have introduced small rain chances for Wednesday and Thursday, but these may need to be tweaked over the weekend and into the start of next week as models hopefully come more in line with one another and hone in on similar solutions. High temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will be in the upper 50s, with lows Wednesday night in the upper 30s.